Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the atmosphere presents significant challenges to conventional predictive models. On the other hand, introducing quantum computing simulation techniques to the forecasting problems constitutes a promising alternative to overcome these challenges. In this context, this work explores the emerging intersection between quantum machine learning (QML) and climate forecasting. We present the implementation of a Quantum Neural Network (QNN) trained on real meteorological data from NASA's Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources (POWER) database. The results show that QNN has the potential to outperform a classical Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) in terms of accuracy and adaptability to abrupt data shifts, particularly in wind speed prediction. Despite observed nonlinearities and architectural sensitivities, the QNN demonstrated robustness in handling temporal variability and faster convergence in temperature prediction. These findings highlight the potential of quantum models in short and medium term climate prediction, while also revealing key challenges and future directions for optimization and broader applicability.

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in wind speed forecasting is a critical challenge in wind power production due to the inherently volatile nature of wind. By quantifying the associated risks and returns, UQ supports more effective decision-making for grid operations and participation in the electricity market. In this paper, we design a sequence of deep learning based probabilistic forecasting methods by using the Tube loss function for wind speed forecasting. The Tube loss function is a simple and model agnostic Prediction Interval (PI) estimation approach and can obtain the narrow PI with asymptotical coverage guarantees without any distribution assumption. Our deep probabilistic forecasting models effectively incorporate popular architectures such as LSTM, GRU, and TCN within the Tube loss framework. We further design a simple yet effective heuristic for tuning the $δ$ parameter of the Tube loss function so that our deep forecasting models obtain the narrower PI without compromising its calibration ability. We have considered three wind datasets, containing the hourly recording of the wind speed, collected from three distinct location namely Jaisalmer, Los Angeles and San Fransico. Our numerical results demonstrate that the proposed deep forecasting models produce more reliable and narrower PIs compared to recently developed probabilistic wind forecasting methods.

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is always accompanied by uncertainty due to the wind speed's volatility. Wind speed forecasting (WSF) is essential for power grids' dispatch, stability, and controllability, and its accuracy is crucial to effectively using wind resources. Therefore, this study proposes a novel WSF framework for stationary data based on a hybrid decomposition method and the Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (BiLSTM) to achieve high forecasting accuracy for the Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia. The hybrid decomposition method combines the Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD) and the Seasonal Adjustment Method (SAM). The SAM method eliminates the seasonal component of the decomposed subseries generated by WPD to reduce forecasting complexity. The BiLSTM is applied to forecast all the deseasonalized decomposed subseries. Five years of hourly wind speed observations acquired from a location in the Al-Jouf region were used to prove the effectiveness of the proposed model. The comparative experimental results, including 27 other models, demonstrated the proposed model's superiority in single and multiple WSF with an overall average mean absolute error of 0.176549, root mean square error of 0.247069, and R-squared error of 0.985987.

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind speed forecasting models. However, the task of wind speed forecasting is challenging due to the inherent intermittent characteristics of wind speed. In this paper, a hybrid machine learning approach is developed for predicting short-term wind speed. First, the wind data was decomposed into modal components using Successive Variational Mode Decomposition (SVMD). Then, each sub-signal was fitted into a Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) model, with its hyperparameter optimized by a novel variant of Quantum-behaved Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO), QPSO with elitist breeding (EBQPSO). Second, the residuals making up for the differences between the original wind series and the aggregate of the SVMD modes were modeled using long short-term model (LSTM). Then, the overall predicted values were computed using the aggregate of the LSSVM and the LSTM models. Finally, the performance of the proposed model was compared against state-of-the-art benchmark models for forecasting wind speed using two separate data sets collected from a local wind farm. Empirical results show significant improvement in performance by the proposed method, achieving a 1.21% to 32.76% reduction in root mean square error (RMSE) and a 2.05% to 40.75% reduction in mean average error (MAE) compared to the benchmark methods. The entire code implementation of this work is freely available in Github.

Wind flow can be highly unpredictable and can suffer substantial fluctuations in speed and direction due to the shape and height of hills, mountains, and valleys, making accurate wind speed (WS) forecasting essential in complex terrain. This paper presents a novel and adaptive model for short-term forecasting of WS. The paper's key contributions are as follows: (a) The Partial Auto Correlation Function (PACF) is utilised to minimise the dimension of the set of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMF), hence reducing training time; (b) The sample entropy (SampEn) was used to calculate the complexity of the reduced set of IMFs. The proposed technique is adaptive since a specific Deep Learning (DL) model-feature combination was chosen based on complexity; (c) A novel bidirectional feature-LSTM framework for complicated IMFs has been suggested, resulting in improved forecasting accuracy; (d) The proposed model shows superior forecasting performance compared to the persistence, hybrid, Ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), and Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD)-based deep learning models. It has achieved the lowest variance in terms of forecasting accuracy between simple and complex terrain conditions 0.70%. Dimension reduction of IMF's and complexity-based model-feature selection helps reduce the training time by 68.77% and improve forecasting quality by 58.58% on average.

Global environmental challenges and rising energy demands have led to extensive exploration of wind energy technologies. Accurate wind speed forecasting (WSF) is crucial for optimizing wind energy capture and ensuring system stability. However, predicting wind speed remains challenging due to its inherent randomness, fluctuation, and unpredictability. This study proposes the Temporal Convolutional Network Former (TCNFormer) for short-term (12-hour) wind speed forecasting. The TCNFormer integrates the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and transformer encoder to capture the spatio-temporal features of wind speed. The transformer encoder consists of two distinct attention mechanisms: causal temporal multi-head self-attention (CT-MSA) and temporal external attention (TEA). CT-MSA ensures that the output of a step derives only from previous steps, i.e., causality. Locality is also introduced to improve efficiency. TEA explores potential relationships between different sample sequences in wind speed data. This study utilizes wind speed data from the NASA Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources (NASA POWER) of Patenga Sea Beach, Chittagong, Bangladesh (latitude 22.2352{\deg} N, longitude 91.7914{\deg} E) over a year (six seasons). The findings indicate that the TCNFormer outperforms state-of-the-art models in prediction accuracy. The proposed TCNFormer presents a promising method for spatio-temporal WSF and may achieve desirable performance in real-world applications of wind power systems.

Accurate forecasting of wind speed and direction is paramount across various domains, playing a pivotal role in weather prediction, renewable energy generation, agricultural management, and bushfire mitigation efforts. Accurate predictions enable meteorologists to deepen their understanding of atmospheric processes, leading to more precise weather forecasts and timely alerts for severe weather events [1]. In the realm of renewable energy, precise forecasts of wind conditions are indispensable to optimise the performance of wind farms and integrate wind energy efficiently into the power grid [2-4]. In agriculture, wind forecasts inform critical decisions such as crop spraying, sprinkler or central pivot irrigation timing, and pest control, ultimately improving crop yields and water management [5]. For bush-fire management, timely and accurate predictions of wind speed and direction are crucial for modelling fire behaviour, planning firefighter deployment, and planning evacuations, thereby reducing the impact of bushfires on communities and ecosystems [6, 7]. Given the multifaceted applications of wind forecasting, advancements in machine learning-based techniques for predicting wind speed and direction hold immense promise for bolstering societal resilience and fostering sustainable development. Traditionally, wind forecasting models fall into three categories: physical, statistical time series analysis and machine learning.

Wind power generated by wind has non-schedule nature due to stochastic nature of meteorological variable. Hence energy business and control of wind power generation requires prediction of wind speed (WS) from few seconds to different time steps in advance. To deal with prediction shortcomings, various WS prediction methods have been used. Predictive data mining offers variety of methods for WS predictions where artificial neural network (ANN) is one of the reliable and accurate methods. It is observed from the result of this study that ANN gives better accuracy in comparison conventional model. The accuracy of WS prediction models is found to be dependent on input parameters and architecture type algorithms utilized. So the selection of most relevant input parameters is important research area in WS predicton field. The objective of the paper is twofold: first extensive review of ANN for wind power and WS prediction is carried out. Discussion and analysis of feature selection using Relief Algorithm (RA) in WS prediction are considered for different Indian sites. RA identify atmospheric pressure, solar radiation and relative humidity are relevant input variables. Based on relevant input variables Cascade ANN model is developed and prediction accuracy is evaluated. It is found that root mean square error (RMSE) for comparison between predicted and measured WS for training and testing wind speed are found to be 1.44 m/s and 1.49 m/s respectively. The developed cascade ANN model can be used to predict wind speed for sites where there are not WS measuring instruments are installed in India.

As an important clean and renewable kind of energy, wind power plays an important role in coping with energy crisis and environmental pollution. However, the volatility and intermittency of wind speed restrict the development of wind power. To improve the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a new wind speed prediction model based on data noise reduction technology, temporal convolutional network (TCN), and gated recurrent unit (GRU). Firstly, an adaptive data noise reduction algorithm P-SSA is proposed based on singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and Pearson correlation coefficient. The original wind speed is decomposed into multiple subsequences by SSA and then reconstructed. When the Pearson correlation coefficient between the reconstructed sequence and the original sequence is greater than 0.99, other noise subsequences are deleted to complete the data denoising. Then, the receptive field of the samples is expanded through the causal convolution and dilated convolution of TCN, and the characteristics of wind speed change are extracted. Then, the time feature information of the sequence is extracted by GRU, and then the wind speed is predicted to form the wind speed sequence prediction model of P-SSA-TCN-GRU. The proposed model was validated on three wind farms in Shandong Province. The experimental results show that the prediction performance of the proposed model is better than that of the traditional model and other models based on TCN, and the wind speed prediction of wind farms with high precision and strong stability is realized. The wind speed predictions of this model have the potential to become the data that support the operation and management of wind farms. The code is available at link.

The safe and stable operation of power systems is greatly challenged by the high variability and randomness of wind power in large-scale wind-power-integrated grids. Wind power forecasting is an effective solution to tackle this issue, with wind speed forecasting being an essential aspect. In this paper, a Graph-attentive Frequency-enhanced Spatial-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting model based on graph attention and frequency-enhanced mechanisms, i.e., GFST-WSF, is proposed to improve the accuracy of short-term wind speed forecasting. The GFST-WSF comprises a Transformer architecture for temporal feature extraction and a Graph Attention Network (GAT) for spatial feature extraction. The GAT is specifically designed to capture the complex spatial dependencies among wind speed stations to effectively aggregate information from neighboring nodes in the graph, thus enhancing the spatial representation of the data. To model the time lag in wind speed correlation between adjacent wind farms caused by geographical factors, a dynamic complex adjacency matrix is formulated and utilized by the GAT. Benefiting from the effective spatio-temporal feature extraction and the deep architecture of the Transformer, the GFST-WSF outperforms other baselines in wind speed forecasting for the 6-24 hours ahead forecast horizon in case studies.